BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Mississippi State 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Mississippi State 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
19.45 |
28.48 (+9.02) |
22.40 |
29.72 (+7.32) |
29.25 (-0.46) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
306.36 |
314.99 (+8.63) |
365.60 |
418.05 (+52.45) |
379.41 (-38.65) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.95 |
5.16 (+0.21) |
5.32 |
6.07 (+0.75) |
5.73 (-0.34) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
28.36 |
20.50 (-7.86) |
38.40 |
34.86 (-3.54) |
29.47 (-5.38) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
353.55 |
324.61 (-28.93) |
502.40 |
483.29 (-19.11) |
423.79 (-59.50) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.43 |
4.82 (-0.62) |
7.23 |
6.99 (-0.24) |
6.17 (-0.81) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.9 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Eastern Kentucky |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 56-7 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-08 |
@Arizona State |
23.77 |
35.92 |
+12.15 |
59.69 |
30.51% |
L 23-30 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
Toledo |
36.65 |
35.56 |
-1.09 |
72.21 |
51.75% |
L 17-41 |
1-2 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Florida |
26.77 |
33.39 |
+6.62 |
60.16 |
39.38% |
L 28-45 |
1-3 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@Texas |
9.91 |
52.72 |
+42.80 |
62.63 |
0.10% |
L 13-35 |
1-4 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Georgia |
15.30 |
44.76 |
+29.46 |
60.06 |
2.75% |
L 31-41 |
1-5 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Texas A&M |
20.19 |
40.45 |
+20.26 |
60.64 |
17.50% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
Arkansas |
27.98 |
31.50 |
+3.52 |
59.47 |
44.35% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
Massachusetts |
46.78 |
18.38 |
-28.40 |
65.16 |
95.55% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
@Tennessee |
17.71 |
44.42 |
+26.72 |
62.13 |
7.15% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
Missouri |
24.14 |
37.69 |
+13.55 |
61.84 |
28.26% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-29 |
@Ole Miss |
14.97 |
44.13 |
+29.15 |
59.10 |
3.24% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 1-11 |
1.29% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 2-10 |
30.11% |
1.29% |
98.70% |
| 3-9 |
43.88% |
31.41% |
68.59% |
| 4-8 |
20.62% |
75.29% |
24.71% |
| 5-7 |
3.83% |
95.91% |
4.09% |
| 6-6 |
0.26% |
99.74% |
0.26% |
| 7-5 |
0.01% |
99.99% |
0.01% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
0.29% |
| 2-10 |
6.49% |
| 3-9 |
22.25% |
| 4-8 |
32.06% |
| 5-7 |
24.76% |
| 6-6 |
11.03% |
| 7-5 |
2.72% |
| 8-4 |
0.38% |
| 9-3 |
0.02% |